At Least 75% of the Marbles: Uruguay v Argentina Open Thread
On one side, the heroic magician the world longs to adore next summer; on that same side, the heroic magician of yore much of the world would love to see enjoying a summer’s day spa. Lionel and Diego, both in danger of missing out on South Africa 2010, and you can’t wish success upon one while wishing ill upon the other.
This is arguably the biggest game of World Cup 2010 qualifying. In fact, it is the biggest game. When Diego took over the albiceleste, no one expected a great deal; but perhaps only a Brazilian could’ve thought things would become this dire. One game left, qualification not guaranteed.
And while we focus on Argentina’s self-reliance, one thing is important to remember: Uruguay is 4-3-1 +11 at home. That “1″? Dunga’s Brazilian juggernaut, of course. Even a rampant Argentina would find Montevideo a tough fixture, making this game all the more appetizing.
The Scenarios
With a win, Argentina goes through. But if they fail to take maximum points, they rely upon the result of the Chile – Ecuador fixture:
Draw and Ecuador win: Argentina take the 5th spot and head to a playoff with CONCACAF’s 4th placed side.
Draw and Ecuador draw/loss: Argentina are through and Uruguay take 5th.
Uruguay win and Ecuador win: Argentina go home, Uruguay qualify automatically and Ecuador take 5th.
Uruguay win and Ecuador draw/loss: Uruguay take 4th, Argentina 5th, Ecuador take to the high hills.
Streams
Feel free to celebrate, mourn and all that lies in between in the comments.
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Comments | Add your comment
By Shane | October 14th, 2009 at 2:29 pm 
Please win Uruguay and Ecuador. Rarely do you get to see the kind of failure we will see if Diego, Messi and Argentina fail to qualify.
Posted from 
United States
By chris | October 14th, 2009 at 3:10 pm It’s early and the Argentina back is already falling apart. This has 5-4 written all over it.
By Jeremy | October 14th, 2009 at 3:15 pm A draw and a huge Ecuador win (by 6 or more) and Argentina gets the repechaje. They are looking mighty shaky right now.
By chris | October 14th, 2009 at 3:25 pm This ref doles out cards with an extraordinarily fierce amount of panache.
That’s all I’m saying.
By alex | October 14th, 2009 at 3:55 pm 0-0 for all at halftime….argentina are soooo scared to make a mistake….ecuador doesnt really look good but there hanging in there
By Daryl | October 14th, 2009 at 4:20 pm Chile 1-0 Ecuadaor
By Ian | October 14th, 2009 at 4:31 pm Beat me to it, Daryl. Looks like Argentina’s man of the match might be Suazo.
By shane | October 14th, 2009 at 4:35 pm What bore this match has turned into.
Posted from United States
By Daryl | October 14th, 2009 at 4:55 pm Bolatti! 1-0 Argentina. Turns out Maradona is a tactical genius?
By chris | October 14th, 2009 at 4:56 pm Argentina’s going to South Africa on the back of Humberto Suazo and Martin Caceres’ stupidity.
Whether Diego is going is another question entirely.
By alessio | October 14th, 2009 at 4:58 pm If Argentina wins and Ecuador loses, who is in 5th?
By shane | October 14th, 2009 at 4:59 pm Uruguay
Posted from United States
By Ian | October 14th, 2009 at 5:30 pm Glad that Argentina is coming to the party. I do hope that they get rid of Maradona – a team with that much talent deserves better at the helm.
By Leon | October 14th, 2009 at 5:41 pm Wow, Argentina in by a, dare I say it, masterstroke from Maradona. I don’t support Argentina but am very happy to see a trditional powerhouse book their ticket to the greatest show on Earth. I wouldn’t read too much into the messy qualification the Argies went thru in order to get to South Africa. It’s better to be messy now rather than later. You guys will be as good as gold come WC2010.
By Brian | October 15th, 2009 at 10:10 am Argentina had better get their act together to make anything happen in South Africa. They are in serious jeopardy of making themselves look like more fools than they already have. I hope they train their butts off and start producing…
By edwin sanchezc | October 16th, 2009 at 8:47 am It is not Israel has done nothing to bring peace. They have had peace with Egypt and Jordan for years now.
By SoccerFanatic | October 19th, 2009 at 10:35 am argentina seemed to struggle just enough during qualification so that teams will underestimate their potential.
