At Stake on Friday
We have one more day with four games and what a day it could turn out to be. Only one of the four spots in the next round is secured with Spain the only team that is through for certain. Togo is eliminated but the other six teams all are still mathematically still alive. Here is what needs to happen for each team to reach the promised land of the round of 16.
Switzerland - can advance to the round of 16 with a win or draw against South Korea. The Swiss can win the group with a win or a draw if France doesn’t beat Togo and if they finish with a superior goal difference (Switzerland currently +2, France currently 0).
South Korea – can advance to the Round of 16 with a win over Switzerland, or a draw and a France loss or draw against Togo. If South Korea draws and France beats Togo, South Korea can advance if their goal difference is superior (Korea currently +1, France 0). South Korea will win the group with a win over Switzerland.
France – can move on with a victory over Togo, provided there is a winner between Switzerland and South Korea. If South Korea and Switzerland draw, France will need to win and finish with a better goal difference than Korea (Korea currently +1, France 0). France can win the group if the South Korea-Switzerland match is a draw and France gets a victory and finishes with a better goal difference than the Swiss (Switzerland currently +2, France currently 0).
Spain – have already qualified for the second round and can win the group with a point against Saudi Arabia. If they lose to Saudi Arabia, they will still win the group if Ukraine either loses or draws against Tunisia, or beat Tunisia but finish with a worse goal difference (Spain currently +6, Ukraine 0).
Ukraine -can move onto the next round with a win over Tunisia. They can also earn a draw to advance provided Saudi Arabia does not beat Spain. If Ukraine earns a draw and Saudi Arabia beats Spain, Ukraine needs to finish with a higher goal difference (Ukraine 0, Saudi Arabia -4). They can also win the group with a win over Tunisia and a Spain loss to Saudi Arabia, if they finish with a better goal difference than the Spaniards (Spain currently +6, Ukraine 0).
Tunisia- can advance to the round of 16 with a win over Ukraine if Saudi Arabia doesn’t beat Spain and if they finish with a superior goal difference (Tunisia currently -2, Saudi Arabia -4).
Saudi Arabia – can move on to the round of 16 with a win over Spain and an Ukraine loss to Tunisia, provided Saudi Arabia have a better goal difference than Tunisia (Tunisia currently -2, Saudi Arabia -4). If Ukraine and Tunisia draw, Saudi Arabia can move on with a win over Spain and a better goal difference than Ukraine (Ukraine currently 0, Saudi Arabia -4).
When it is all said and done I see it ending:
2. South Korea
4. Saudi Arabia
How do you see the groups ending up after Friday’s games?