Euro 2008: Swiss Bank Already Knows the Winner
Turns out we don’t even need to stage Euro 2008, because the Czech Republic are going to win. And they’re going to beat Italy in the final. On penalties. That’s according to Swiss bank UBS anyway. A team of their best mathematical boffins used statistical data like past performance, home advantage and FIFA world rankings (apparently Swiss banking boffins are the only people on the planet that take the FIFA world rankings seriously) to calculate what will happen this summer.
But before you dismiss this, remember that the same boffins correctly predicted that Italy would win the World Cup in 2006, so Czech fans have reason to be optimistic. UBS calculate that the Czechs have a 51% chance of lifting the trophy on June 29th, 2008.
Among other UBS’s other predictions: Switzerland will make the semi-finals after beating Germany in the quarters, but then lose to the Czech Republic in the semis. Italy will beat the Netherlands in the other semi-final. Co-hosts Austria will go out in the group stage, as will Portugal. Not sure about that very last one.
We’ll be checking back in with these predictions at the end of the tournament, and we’ll see just how smart the UBS boffins really are.
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AJ
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John
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HK
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